RANDOM SAMPLING
EXERCISE
Scientists cannot possibly count every organism in a population.
One way to estimate the size of a population is to collect data by taking
random samples. In this activity, you will look at how data obtained from
random sampling compare with data obtained by an actual count.
Procedure
1. Tear a sheet of paper into twenty slips, each approximately 4 cm x
4 cm.
2. Number ten of the slips from 1 through 10 and put them in a small
container.
3. Label the remaining ten slips from A through J and put them in a
second container.
The grid shown below represents a meadow hypothetically measuring
10 m on each side. Each grid segment is 1 meter x 1 meter. Each
circle represents one sunflower plant.
4. Randomly remove one slip from each container. Write down the
number-letter combination and find the grid segment that matches the
combination. Count the number of sunflower plants in that grid segment. Record this
number on the data table. Return each slip to its appropriate
container.
5. Repeat Step 4 until you have data for 10 different grid segments
(and the table is filled out). These 10 grid segments represent a sample.
Gathering data from a randomly selected sample of a larger area is called
sampling.
6. Find the total number of sunflower plants for the ten-segment
sample. To do so, add all the grid segment sunflowers together and divide by
ten to get an AVERAGE number of sunflower plants per grid segment. Record this
number in the table. Record this number in a data table similar to the one
below that can be easily added to your blog page or use this table, scan, and
add.
7. Multiply the average number of sunflower plants by 100 (the total
number of grid segments) to find the total number of plants in the meadow based
on your sample. Record this number in a data table similar to the one below
that can be easily added to your blog page or use this table, scan, and add.
Random
Sampling Data
|
|
Actual
Data
|
|
Grid
Segment
(number and letter) |
Number
of Sunflowers
|
Total number of
sunflowers
___26___
(count by hand)
Average number of
sunflowers
(divide total by 10)
Per grid __2.6___
|
|
J-1
|
1
|
||
I-10
|
3
|
||
F-8
|
2
|
||
C-4
|
3
|
||
H-9
|
2
|
||
E-10
|
3
|
||
C-10
|
3
|
||
B-3
|
3
|
||
H-10
|
3
|
||
A-7
|
3
|
||
Total
Number of Sunflowers
|
26
|
||
Average
(divide total by 100)
|
.26
|
||
Total
number of plants in meadow
(multiply average by 100) |
228
|
8. Now count all the sunflower
plants actually shown in the meadow. Record this number in the data
table. Divide this figure by 100 to calculate the average number of
sunflower plants per each grid.
Analysis
1. Compare the total number you got for sunflowers from the SAMPLING
to the ACTUAL count. How close are they?
There was a total of 26 sunflowers that I sampled. Which
means that there was an average of 2.6 sunflowers per grid. Upon counting the
actual amount of sun flowers, it was pretty accurate. The actual count was
2.28, which means it’s only off by .32.
2. Why was the paper-slip method used to select the grid segments?
When doing a lab in the field it’s easier to choose sections
of the measured grid rather than counting each one indivudally. You won’t be
100% accurate but you can get a pretty good idea
3. A lazy ecologist collects data from the same field, but he stops
just on the side of the road and just counts the ten segments near the road.
These ten segments are located at J, 1-10. When she submits her report, how
many sunflowers will she estimate are in the field?
She will only estimate that there are 70 sunflowers.
4. Suggest a reason why her estimation differs from your estimation.
Because she didn’t venture into the field. If she had
stopped for 30 minutes and just walked the sun flower field, choosing 10
segments, she would have a more accurate sampling.
5. Population sampling is usually more effective when the population
has an even dispersion pattern. Clumped dispersion patterns
are the least effective. Explain why this would be the case.
Because when the dispersion pattern is even you can get a
better “head” count. If it’s clumped together, you risk the possibility of
counting the same spot more than once.
6. Describe how you would use sampling to determine the population of
dandelions in your yard.
I’d make a grid of 5 x 5 with yarn. Then sectioning the 5 x
5 into 25 equal blocks. After which I would count the amount of dandelions in
each square. After I’ve counted 5 different squares I would divide it by 5.
Then I’d multiply the average by 25 to get my total.
7. In an area that measures five miles by five miles, a sample was
taken to count the number of desert willow trees. The number of trees counted
in the grid is shown below. The grids where the survey was taken were chosen
randomly. Determine how desert willow trees are in this forest using the random
sampling technique. Show your calculations.
|
7
|
|
|
|
3
|
||||
|
|
|
5
|
|
11
|
|
9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
There are 35
willow trees that were recorded. Divide that number by 5 as that’s how many
samples there are. 7 is the average number. Multiply 7 by how many blocks in
the segment. 25. And the total number willow trees is approx.. 175
(11+7+9+5+3)=35/5=7*25=175
Reference
Biology
Corner. Random Sampling. 2014 Apr 6. Web.
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